In Davos, Demis Hassabis bets 50/50 AGI arrives in five years
Last Updated on January 26, 2026 by Editorial Team
Author(s): JP Caparas
Originally published on Towards AI.
The famed Nobel laureate and Google DeepMind boss returns to Davos with Gemini 3, a cooler take on China, and a 50% bet on AGI by 2030
A year ago, the AI world was losing its mind.
Demis Hassabis reflects on the rapid AI developments and the challenges posed by competitors, particularly China, assessing that they are about six months behind in AI capabilities. He acknowledges the skepticism surrounding AGI timelines, stating there is a 50% chance it could be achieved by 2030. Despite uncertainties, he discusses the future roles AI could play in society, especially concerning jobs and its profound impact on various fields, all while noting the intense pressures faced by those in the AI industry working to meet these imminent breakthroughs.
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